Not Historic in Every Sense

According to the Architect, the Obama victory is not as "historic" as it might seem. His numbers are good, no doubt. But it is striking how important young, black voters were to his victory.

They produced almost half of the increase in votes over Kerry's totals. One has to wonder if they will have any similar impact on other elections with other candidates (particularly white ones).

There are lots of other interesting numbers to wade through here. But at the end, Rove is right. History favors a Republican recovery in two years. But it is my no means assured. We need a plan, and some good candidates on which to hang it.